Prediction of Philip Henning vs Pierre Yves Bailly at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 14 Dec 2025

• In recent months, Pierre Yves Bailly has demonstrated better second serve performance, winning 44.88% of points compared to Philip Henning's 39.79%. Could this give Bailly an advantage?
• When it comes to returning games, Bailly also holds an edge, claiming 48.91% of opponents' second serve points, while Henning manages 43.82%.
• Both players are almost neck and neck in saving breakpoints, with Henning slightly ahead at 50.30% compared to Bailly's 50.00%.
• Over the past year, Bailly has a higher win rate of 86.67% (13/2) unlike Henning, who has won 75.38% of his matches (49/16).
• While both players excel on Hard courts with a win rate of 81%, their weakest surfaces contrast with Bailly struggling on Clay at 42% (5/7) and Henning on Indoor Hard with 56% (9/7).
• Despite similar levels of competition—mostly Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events—over the last year, Bailly has slightly more victories.
• Henning typically faces tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 394.23 compared to Bailly's 562.2.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Henning has historically performed better, winning 70% compared to Bailly's 50% success rate.
• Bailly has a higher breakpoint conversion rate of 36.21%, whereas Henning converts 31.35% of his breakpoint opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (December 13, 2025, UTC):

This match promises to be closely contested, with both players exhibiting strengths in different areas. Pierre Yves Bailly's superior performance on second serves and return games may provide him a strategic advantage.

Despite Philip Henning's prowess in deciding sets and playing against generally higher-ranked opponents, Bailly's overall higher win percentage over the past year cannot be overlooked.

Considering these factors, Pierre Yves Bailly is more likely to secure victory in this upcoming tennis match.